ARISTOTLE
Apixaban versus Warfarin in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation
Clinical Question
Does apixaban reduce the risk of stroke or systemic embolism compared to warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation?
Bottom Line
Apixaban was superior to warfarin in preventing stroke/systemic embolism, caused less bleeding, and reduced mortality.
Major Points
- Largest DOAC vs warfarin trial: 18,201 patients with AF and โฅ1 stroke risk factor randomized at 1,034 clinical sites in 39 countries.
- Triple benefit: apixaban was superior for efficacy (stroke/SE: 1.27% vs 1.60%/yr, HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.66โ0.95, P=0.01), superior for safety (major bleeding: 2.13% vs 3.09%/yr, HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.60โ0.80, P<0.001), and reduced all-cause mortality (3.52% vs 3.94%/yr, HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.80โ0.998, P=0.047).
- Hemorrhagic stroke reduced by 49% (0.24% vs 0.47%/yr, HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.35โ0.75, P<0.001). Ischemic or uncertain type of stroke rates were similar (0.97% vs 1.05%/yr, HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.74โ1.13, P=0.42).
- Dose reduction criteria: apixaban 2.5 mg BID if โฅ2 of: age โฅ80, weight โค60 kg, creatinine โฅ1.5 mg/dL (~4.7% of patients received the reduced dose).
- Double-dummy design: patients received either apixaban + warfarin-placebo or warfarin + apixaban-placebo, with sham INR monitoring to maintain blinding.
- Mean CHADS2 score was 2.1; ~19% had prior stroke/TIA/SE. Median TTR for warfarin arm was 66.0% (mean 62.2%).
- Paper conclusion: in patients with atrial fibrillation, apixaban was superior to warfarin in preventing stroke or systemic embolism, caused less bleeding, and resulted in lower mortality.
Design
Study Type: Randomized, double-blind, double-dummy, controlled trial
Randomization: 1
Blinding: Double-blind
Enrollment Period: December 2006 โ April 2010
Follow-up Duration: Median 1.8 years
Centers: 1034
Number of Countries: 39
Countries: North America, Latin America, Europe, Asian Pacific
Sample Size: 18201
Analysis: Intention-to-treat for efficacy; safety population (received โฅ1 dose) for bleeding
Inclusion Criteria
- Atrial fibrillation or flutter at enrollment, or two or more episodes of atrial fibrillation/flutter documented by electrocardiography at least 2 weeks apart in the 12 months before enrollment.
- At least one additional risk factor for stroke: age โฅ75 years; previous stroke, transient ischemic attack, or systemic embolism; symptomatic heart failure within the previous 3 months or left ventricular ejection fraction โค40%; diabetes mellitus; or hypertension requiring pharmacologic treatment.
- No specific CHADS2 score required, but effectively enrolled patients with CHADS2 โฅ1.
Exclusion Criteria
- Atrial fibrillation due to a reversible cause
- Moderate or severe mitral stenosis
- Conditions other than atrial fibrillation that required anticoagulation (e.g., a prosthetic heart valve)
- Stroke within the previous 7 days
- Need for aspirin at a dose of >165 mg/day or for both aspirin and clopidogrel
- Severe renal insufficiency (serum creatinine >2.5 mg/dL or calculated CrCl <25 mL/min)
Baseline Characteristics
| Characteristic | Control | Active |
|---|---|---|
| N | 9081 | 9120 |
| Median Age (yr) | 70 (IQR 63โ76) | 70 (IQR 63โ76) |
| Female (%) | 35.0% | 35.5% |
| Mean CHADS2 Score | 2.1 ยฑ 1.1 | 2.1 ยฑ 1.1 |
| CHADS2 = 1 (%) | 34.0% | 34.0% |
| CHADS2 = 2 (%) | 35.8% | 35.8% |
| CHADS2 โฅ3 (%) | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| Prior Stroke/TIA/SE (%) | 19.7% | 19.2% |
| Heart Failure or LVEF โค40% (%) | 35.4% | 35.5% |
| Hypertension Requiring Treatment (%) | 87.6% | 87.3% |
| Diabetes (%) | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| AF Type - Paroxysmal (%) | 15.5% | 15.1% |
| AF Type - Persistent or Permanent (%) | 84.4% | 84.9% |
| Prior VKA Use >30 consecutive days (%) | 57.2% | 57.1% |
| Median SBP (mmHg) | 130 (IQR 120โ140) | 130 (IQR 120โ140) |
| Median Weight (kg) | 82 (IQR 70โ95) | 82 (IQR 70โ96) |
| Aspirin Use at Baseline (%) | 30.5% | 31.3% |
Arms
| Field | Apixaban | Control |
|---|---|---|
| Intervention | Apixaban 5 mg twice daily. Reduced dose of 2.5 mg twice daily if โฅ2 of: age โฅ80 years, body weight โค60 kg, or serum creatinine โฅ1.5 mg/dL (~4.7% received reduced dose). Administered with matched warfarin-placebo and sham INR values to maintain blinding (double-dummy design). Concomitant aspirin โค165 mg/day was permitted. | Adjusted-dose warfarin targeting INR 2.0โ3.0, with dose titration managed by site investigators using a blinded encrypted point-of-care INR device. Median time in therapeutic range (TTR) was 66.0% (mean 62.2%). Administered with matched apixaban-placebo to maintain double-dummy blinding. Concomitant aspirin โค165 mg/day was permitted. |
| Duration | Median 1.8 years | Median 1.8 years |
Outcomes
| Outcome | Type | Control | Intervention | HR / OR / RR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) or systemic embolism | Primary | 1.60%/year (265 events) | 1.27%/year (212 events) | 0.79 | 0.01 for superiority; <0.001 for noninferiority |
| Death from any cause (key secondary) | Secondary | 3.94%/year (669 events) | 3.52%/year (603 events) | 0.89 | 0.047 |
| Stroke, systemic embolism, or death from any cause | Secondary | 5.04%/year (837 events) | 4.49%/year (752 events) | 0.89 | 0.02 |
| Myocardial infarction | Secondary | 0.61%/year (102 events) | 0.53%/year (90 events) | 0.88 | 0.37 |
| Stroke, systemic embolism, MI, or death from any cause | Secondary | 5.49%/year (906 events) | 4.85%/year (810 events) | 0.88 | 0.01 |
| Pulmonary embolism or deep-vein thrombosis | Secondary | 0.05%/year (9 events) | 0.04%/year (7 events) | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| Hemorrhagic stroke | Secondary | 0.47%/year (78 events) | 0.24%/year (40 events) | 0.51 | <0.001 |
| Ischemic or uncertain type of stroke | Secondary | 1.05%/year (175 events) | 0.97%/year (162 events) | 0.92 | 0.42 |
| Safety Population | Adverse | Apixaban N: 9088 · Warfarin N: 9052 | |||
| Major Bleeding (ISTH) | Adverse | 3.09%/year (462 events) | 2.13%/year (327 events) | 0.69 | <0.001 |
| Intracranial Hemorrhage | Adverse | 0.80%/year (122 events) | 0.33%/year (52 events) | 0.42 | <0.001 |
| Major or Clinically Relevant Nonmajor Bleeding | Adverse | 6.01%/year (877 events) | 4.07%/year (613 events) | 0.68 | <0.001 |
| Any Bleeding | Adverse | 25.8%/year (3060 events) | 18.1%/year (2356 events) | 0.71 | <0.001 |
Subgroup Analysis
Benefits of apixaban consistent across prespecified subgroups: age (<65, 65โ74, โฅ75), sex, CHADS2 score (1, 2, โฅ3), prior stroke/TIA (yes vs no), prior warfarin experience (yes vs no), AF type (paroxysmal vs persistent/permanent), renal function (normal, mild, moderate/severe impairment), region (North America, Latin America, Europe, Asian Pacific), and concomitant aspirin use. For major bleeding, interaction was significant for diabetes status (P=0.003) and renal impairment (P=0.03), with greater bleeding reduction among patients without diabetes and among those with moderate/severe renal impairment.
Criticisms
- Median follow-up 1.8 years โ limited data on very long-term safety and efficacy.
- Excluded recent stroke (within 7 days) โ acute-phase efficacy not directly tested.
- Excluded severe renal impairment (CrCl <25 mL/min or creatinine >2.5 mg/dL) โ safety in dialysis patients unknown.
- Warfarin arm median TTR was 66% (mean 62%) โ reasonable but not optimal. Sites with excellent TTR may see smaller advantage for apixaban.
- No reversal agent was available during the trial (andexanet alfa approved later in 2018).
- ~31% of patients used concomitant aspirin โ may confound bleeding comparisons.
- Industry-funded (Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer) โ sponsors of apixaban.
- Ischemic or uncertain type of stroke rates were similar between groups (HR 0.92, P=0.42) โ superiority was primarily driven by hemorrhagic stroke reduction.
- Risk stratification used CHADS2 (range 1โ6), not the more contemporary CHA2DS2-VASc score; limited data on patients with very low CHADS2 (score of 1, ~34% of cohort) where treatment benefit may not outweigh bleeding risk.
Funding
Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer
Based on: ARISTOTLE (The New England Journal of Medicine, 2011)
Authors: Granger CB, Alexander JH, McMurray JJV, ..., Hylek EM
Citation: Granger CB, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(11):981โ992.
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