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RE-SPECT ESUS

Dabigatran for Prevention of Stroke after Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Year of Publication: 2019

Authors: H.-C. Diener, R.L. Sacco, J.D. Easton, ..., and K. Toyoda

Journal: The New England Journal of Medicine

Citation: N Engl J Med 2019;380:1906-17.

Link: https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1813959

PDF: https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa1813959


Clinical Question

In patients with a recent embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), is dabigatran superior to aspirin for the prevention of recurrent stroke?

Bottom Line

In patients with a recent embolic stroke of undetermined source, dabigatran was not found to be superior to aspirin in preventing recurrent stroke. The incidence of major bleeding was similar between the two groups, but clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding events were more frequent with dabigatran.

Major Points

  • Second major ESUS anticoagulation trial (after NAVIGATE ESUS). Both trials tested whether anticoagulation is superior to aspirin for ESUS — both were negative, effectively ending the ESUS anticoagulation hypothesis for the general ESUS population.
  • Largest ESUS trial: 5,390 patients across 564 centers in 42 countries. Double-blind design (unlike NAVIGATE ESUS which was open-label) — the gold-standard design for drug comparison.
  • Primary outcome: recurrent stroke 4.1%/yr dabigatran vs 4.8%/yr aspirin (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.69–1.03, p=0.10) — a non-significant 15% relative risk reduction. Trend favoring dabigatran did not reach significance.
  • Notably, disabling stroke showed a nominally significant reduction (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.36–0.96, p=0.03), but this was not significant after hierarchical testing adjustment.
  • Major bleeding was similar (1.7% vs 1.4%/yr, HR 1.19, p=NS) — a key difference from NAVIGATE ESUS where rivaroxaban showed significantly more major bleeding. Dabigatran appeared safer than rivaroxaban in the ESUS context.
  • Clinically relevant non-major bleeding was higher with dabigatran (HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.17–2.54), but intracranial hemorrhage rates were identical (0.7%/yr in both groups).
  • Dose-reduced dabigatran (110 mg BID) was used in patients ≥75 years or with CrCl 30–50 mL/min — a protocol feature not available in NAVIGATE ESUS (fixed-dose rivaroxaban).
  • ESUS definition per Hart criteria: non-lacunar stroke on imaging, no ≥50% stenosis, no AF on ≥24h monitoring, no intracardiac thrombus, no other specific cause.
  • 13% of patients had a PFO — these patients might have benefited from PFO closure rather than anticoagulation, potentially diluting the treatment effect.
  • Together with NAVIGATE ESUS, established that empiric anticoagulation for ESUS is not beneficial — shifting focus to identifying specific ESUS subtypes (AF, PFO, cancer, aortic arch disease) for targeted therapy.

Design

Study Type: International, multicenter, randomized, double-blind trial.

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind.

Enrollment Period: December 2014 through January 2018.

Follow-up Duration: Median of 19 months.

Centers: 564

Countries: 42 countries

Sample Size: 5390

Analysis: Intention-to-treat.


Inclusion Criteria

  • Age ≥60 years with ESUS within the previous 3 months (or 6 months if with a vascular risk factor).
  • Age 18-59 years with ESUS within the previous 3 months and at least one additional vascular risk factor.
  • ESUS was defined as a nonlacunar ischemic stroke on imaging with no significant (≥50%) stenosis, no atrial fibrillation (>6 minutes on monitoring), no intracardiac thrombus, and no other specific cause of stroke.

Exclusion Criteria

  • Lacunar stroke on imaging (subcortical infarct ≤1.5 cm consistent with small-vessel disease).
  • Ipsilateral cervical or intracranial arterial stenosis ≥50%.
  • Documented atrial fibrillation or flutter (on ECG, Holter, or ≥24h cardiac monitoring).
  • Mechanical heart valve, mitral stenosis, or intracardiac thrombus.
  • Active cancer or systemic illness likely to cause stroke.
  • Indication for anticoagulation other than ESUS.
  • Severe renal impairment (CrCl <30 mL/min).
  • Concomitant use of strong P-glycoprotein inhibitors (e.g., ketoconazole, dronedarone).
  • Planned carotid endarterectomy or stenting.
  • History of intracranial hemorrhage.
  • Prior hypersensitivity to dabigatran.

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Mean age - yr63.9±11.464.5±11.4
Female sex no. (%)986 (36.6)1001 (37.1)
Race (White) - no. (%)1966 (72.9)1926 (71.5)
Mean body-mass index27.3±5.027.2±5.0
Creatinine clearance <50 ml per minute - no. (%)203 (7.5)227 (8.4)
Median time from index stroke to randomization (IQR) - days43.0 (20.0-78.0)46.0 (21.0-82.0)
Median score on modified Rankin Scale (IQR)1 (0-2)1 (0-2)
Previous TIA or stroke - no. (%)500 (18.6)475 (17.6)
Hypertension - no. (%)1985 (73.7)1996 (74.1)
Diabetes mellitus - no. (%)639 (23.7)585 (21.7)
Patent foramen ovale - no. (%)361 (13.4)319 (11.8)

Arms

FieldControlDabigatran
InterventionAspirin at a dose of 100 mg once daily, plus a dabigatran placebo.Dabigatran at a dose of 150 mg twice daily, or 110 mg twice daily for patients ≥75 years or with a creatinine clearance of 30 to 50 ml/min, plus an aspirin placebo.
DurationMedian of 19 monthsMedian of 19 months

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
First recurrent stroke of ischemic, hemorrhagic, or unspecified type.Primary7.7% (4.8% per year)6.6% (4.1% per year)0.850.10
Ischemic strokeSecondary7.5% (4.7% per year)6.4% (4.0% per year)HR 0.84 (95% CI, 0.68 to 1.03)Not significant per hierarchical testing
Composite of nonfatal stroke, nonfatal MI, or cardiovascular deathSecondary8.6% (5.4% per year)7.7% (4.8% per year)HR 0.88 (95% CI, 0.73 to 1.06)Not significant per hierarchical testing
Disabling strokeSecondary1.6% (0.9% per year)0.9% (0.6% per year)HR 0.59 (95% CI, 0.36 to 0.96)Not significant per hierarchical testing
Major bleedingAdverse2.4% (1.4% per year)2.9% (1.7% per year)HR 1.19 (95% CI, 0.85 to 1.66)
Clinically relevant nonmajor bleedingAdverse1.5% (0.9% per year)2.6% (1.6% per year)HR 1.73 (95% CI, 1.17 to 2.54)
Intracranial hemorrhageAdverse1.2% (0.7% per year)1.2% (0.7% per year)HR 0.98 (95% CI, 0.60 to 1.60)

Subgroup Analysis

No significant treatment-by-subgroup interaction across prespecified subgroups: age (<65 vs ≥65), sex, geographic region, time from stroke to randomization, baseline mRS, prior stroke/TIA, PFO status, and qualifying stroke size. Trend toward greater benefit with dabigatran in patients with PFO (HR 0.62) vs without PFO (HR 0.88), but interaction p=0.21. Post hoc analysis by stroke pattern (cortical vs non-cortical) and by embolic source probability showed no significant interactions. Patients with higher atherosclerotic burden showed no benefit, suggesting ESUS heterogeneity matters.


Criticisms

  • ESUS is a heterogeneous entity grouping PFO-related, occult AF, cancer-related, and aortic arch atheroma — treating all with one anticoagulant is likely to dilute any benefit in a specific subgroup.
  • Only ≥24h cardiac monitoring was required to exclude AF — modern standards (30-day monitoring or implantable loop recorders) detect AF in 12–30% of cryptogenic stroke patients vs ~5% with 24h Holter.
  • 13% of patients had a documented PFO — these patients may have benefited more from PFO closure than anticoagulation, confounding the intent-to-treat analysis.
  • Industry-sponsored (Boehringer Ingelheim) — financial incentive to demonstrate superiority for dabigatran.
  • Median 19-month follow-up was relatively short — longer follow-up might have allowed the trend (HR 0.85) to reach significance, as seen in RESPECT (initially negative at 2.6 years, positive at 5.9 years).
  • No aortic arch imaging was mandated — aortic arch atheromas are a known but often undetected source of embolism in ESUS.
  • The ESUS concept itself has been questioned after both NAVIGATE ESUS and RE-SPECT ESUS failed — some argue the entity should be abandoned in favor of more specific etiological classifications.
  • Dose reduction criteria (age ≥75 or CrCl 30–50) may have undertreated some patients who could have tolerated full-dose dabigatran.

Funding

Boehringer Ingelheim.

Based on: RE-SPECT ESUS (The New England Journal of Medicine, 2019)

Authors: H.-C. Diener, R.L. Sacco, J.D. Easton, ..., and K. Toyoda

Citation: N Engl J Med 2019;380:1906-17.

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