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ISAT

International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) of neurosurgical clipping versus endovascular coiling in 2143 patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms: a randomised comparison of effects on survival, dependency, seizures, rebleeding, subgroups, and aneurysm occlusion

Year of Publication: 2005

Authors: Andrew J Molyneux, Richard S C Kerr, Ly-Mee Yu, ..., for the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) Collaborative Group

Journal: Lancet

Citation: Lancet 2005; 366: 809-17

PDF: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/And...saWNhdGlvbiJ9fQ


Clinical Question

In patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms suitable for both treatments, does a policy of endovascular detachable-coil treatment compared with a policy of neurosurgical clipping reduce the proportion of patients who are dead or dependent at 1 year?

Bottom Line

In patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms suitable for both treatments, endovascular coiling is more likely to result in independent survival at 1 year than neurosurgical clipping, with an absolute risk reduction of 7.4% (95% CI 3.6-11.2, p=0.0001) and relative risk reduction of 23.9% (12.4-33.9). The survival benefit continues for at least 7 years (log rank p=0.03). The risk of epilepsy is substantially lower with endovascular treatment (RR 0.52, 95% CI 0.37-0.74). The risk of late rebleeding is low (0.2% per patient-year after first year) but slightly more common after endovascular coiling than after neurosurgical clipping. At first follow-up angiography, 66% of coiled aneurysms showed complete occlusion compared to 82% of clipped aneurysms (in selected patients who had follow-up angiography).

Major Points

  • Multicenter randomized controlled trial at 42 neurosurgical centres, mainly in UK and Europe
  • 2143 patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms randomized between recruitment closure
  • Patients eligible only if responsible neurosurgeon and neuroradiologist were uncertain about best treatment (equipoise)
  • 88% of patients in good clinical grade (WFNS 1-2) at enrollment
  • 95% of aneurysms in anterior circulation, 90% smaller than 10 mm
  • Primary outcome: death or dependency (mRS 3-6) at 1 year
  • At 1 year: 23.5% dead or dependent in endovascular group vs 30.9% in neurosurgery group (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66-0.87, p=0.0001)
  • Absolute risk reduction 7.4% (3.6-11.2), relative risk reduction 23.9% (12.4-33.9)
  • Case fatality at 1 year: 8.0% endovascular vs 9.9% neurosurgery
  • Survival advantage maintained for up to 7 years (log rank p=0.03)
  • Mean follow-up 4 years, with 6542 patient-years of follow-up after 1 year
  • Rebleeding from target aneurysm after 1 year: 7 patients endovascular vs 2 neurosurgery (0.2% per patient-year)
  • Seizures significantly reduced with endovascular treatment (RR 0.52, 95% CI 0.37-0.74)
  • Follow-up angiography in 881 of 988 surviving endovascular patients (89%): 66% complete occlusion, 26% neck remnant/subtotal, 8% incomplete
  • Follow-up angiography in 450 of 965 surviving neurosurgery patients (47%): 82% complete occlusion, 12% neck remnant, 6% incomplete
  • Treatment effect heterogeneous by age, WFNS grade, and aneurysm location, but no robust evidence that neurosurgery has advantages for any subgroup
  • Trial closed early after interim analysis showed benefit of endovascular treatment

Design

Study Type: Prospective randomized controlled trial, partially blinded

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Outcome assessors (certified examiners and neuropsychologist) were unaware of treatment assignments. Blinded assessment of rebleeding not possible because clips, coils, and craniotomy evidence visible on CT scans. Two independent investigators (neurosurgeon and neuroradiologist) judged all rebleeding and intracranial hemorrhage events.

Enrollment Period: Not explicitly stated in excerpts, but recruitment closed after interim analysis; trial enrolled 2143 patients

Follow-up Duration: 1 year primary outcome, with continued follow-up to 7 years (mean 4 years)

Centers: 42

Countries: United Kingdom, Europe, Other international sites

Sample Size: 2143

Analysis: Intention-to-treat analysis. Kaplan-Meier method used to analyze time to death, with log-rank test to compare mortality. Statistical test of interaction to assess treatment effect consistency across prespecified subgroups. Relative risks describe direction and magnitude of treatment effect. Pre-specified subgroups: WFNS grade, age by decade, Fisher grade, aneurysm location, aneurysm lumen size.


Inclusion Criteria

  • Subarachnoid hemorrhage due to intracranial aneurysm
  • Aneurysm suitable for both endovascular and neurosurgical treatment
  • Uncertainty by responsible neurosurgeon and neuroradiologist about best treatment (equipoise)
  • Consensus that either technique would be suitable treatment option
  • Consensus that it was uncertain whether ruptured aneurysm should be treated by neurosurgical or endovascular means
  • Written informed consent from able patients or assent from relatives for patients who could not give written consent (where ethics committees allowed)

Exclusion Criteria

  • Insufficient uncertainty about best treatment (neurosurgeon and neuroradiologist must both be uncertain)
  • Aneurysm not suitable for either treatment modality
  • Aneurysm clearly more suitable for one specific treatment approach

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Total patients10701073
WFNS Grade 1-2 (good grade)88%88%
Anterior circulation aneurysm95%95%
Aneurysm size <10 mm90%90%
Age distributionDistributed across decades from <40 to ≥70 yearsDistributed across decades from <40 to ≥70 years

Arms

FieldControlEndovascular Coiling
InterventionCraniotomy and surgical clipping of ruptured intracranial aneurysm. Of 1070 patients allocated to neurosurgery, 19 died before first procedure, 39 had coiling as first procedure (crossover), 7 treated conservatively, and 2 missing information. Of first procedures performed: 977 clipped (96.5%), 13 wrapped (1.3%), 14 not completed (partial clipping or wrapping, 1.4%), 8 not attempted (0.8%). Total 1012 first procedures. Performed by experienced neurosurgeons at 42 centers.Endovascular coil embolization using detachable platinum coils (Guglielmi detachable coil system). Of 1073 patients allocated to endovascular treatment, 7 died before procedure, 9 underwent clipping as first procedure (crossover). Of first procedures performed: 1014 completed (92.6%), 29 failed to catheterize target aneurysm (2.6%), 37 aneurysm catheterized but anatomy unsuitable (3.4%), 15 not attempted (1.4%). Total 1095 first procedures. Performed by experienced interventional neuroradiologists at 42 centers. Follow-up angiography requested in all patients at approximately 6 months.
DurationAcute treatment with long-term follow-up to 7 yearsAcute treatment with long-term follow-up to 7 years

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Death or dependency defined by modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 3-6 at 1 yearPrimary326 of 1055 patients (30.9%)250 of 1063 patients (23.5%)7.40%0.0001
mRS 0 (no symptoms) at 1 yearSecondary187 of 1055 (17.7%)260 of 1063 (24.5%)
mRS 1 (minor symptoms) at 1 yearSecondary292 of 1055 (27.7%)301 of 1063 (28.3%)
mRS 2 (some restriction in lifestyle) at 1 yearSecondary250 of 1055 (23.7%)252 of 1063 (23.7%)
mRS 0-2 (independent) at 1 yearSecondary729 of 1055 (69.1%)813 of 1063 (76.5%)
mRS 3 (significant restriction) at 1 yearSecondary141 of 1055 (13.4%)107 of 1063 (10.1%)
mRS 4 (partly dependent) at 1 yearSecondary42 of 1055 (4.0%)30 of 1063 (2.8%)
mRS 5 (fully dependent) at 1 yearSecondary38 of 1055 (3.6%)28 of 1063 (2.6%)
mRS 6 (death) at 1 yearSecondary105 of 1055 (9.9%)85 of 1063 (8.0%)
Cumulative mortality to 7 yearsSecondaryHigher mortality (log rank p=0.03)Lower mortality0.03
Death or dependency at 2 months (mRS 3-6)Secondary392 of 1063 (36.9%)278 of 1065 (26.1%)RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.80<0.0001
Rebleeding before first procedureSecondary28 patients (19 deaths)17 patients (7 deaths)RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.33-1.10
Rebleeding after first procedure and before 30 daysSecondary8 patients (4 deaths)20 patients (9 deaths)RR 2.46, 95% CI 1.09-5.57
Rebleeding 30 days to 1 yearSecondary3 patients (1 death)8 patients (6 deaths)RR 2.64, 95% CI 0.70-9.93
Total rebleeding during first yearSecondary39 patients45 patientsRR 1.15, 95% CI 0.75-1.75
Rebleeding after 1 year from target aneurysmSecondary2 patients (2 deaths)7 patients (2 deaths)0.2% per patient-year
Cumulative rebleeding to 7 yearsSecondaryLower rateHigher rateLog rank p=0.22 (not significant)0.22
Seizures before first treatmentSecondary11 patients (6 deaths)3 patients (3 deaths)
Seizures after procedure to before dischargeSecondary33 patients (2 deaths)16 patients (2 deaths)
Seizures discharge to 1 yearSecondary44 patients27 patients (1 death)
Seizures after 1 yearSecondary24 patients14 patients (1 death)
Overall seizure risk after first procedureSecondaryHigher riskLower riskRR 0.52, 95% CI 0.37-0.74<0.001
Complete aneurysm occlusion on first follow-up angiographySecondary370 of 450 with angiography (82%)584 of 881 with angiography (66%)
Neck remnant or subtotal occlusion on follow-up angiographySecondary55 of 450 (12%)228 of 881 (26%)
Incomplete occlusion on follow-up angiographySecondary25 of 450 (6%)69 of 881 (8%)
Death 2-12 months (complication of severe dependent survival)Adverse15 patients7 patients
Death after 1 year (complication of severe dependent survival)Adverse5 patients1 patient
Death 2-12 months from treated aneurysm rebleedingAdverse1 patient1 patient
Death after 1 year from treated aneurysm rebleedingAdverse2 patients2 patients
Death from another aneurysm hemorrhage after 1 yearAdverse0 patients3 patients
Death from cardiac causes after 1 yearAdverse10 patients5 patients
Death from cancer after 1 yearAdverse12 patients9 patients
Death from suicide after 1 yearAdverse1 patient2 patients

Subgroup Analysis

Treatment effect was heterogeneous by age (p=0.04), WFNS grade (p=0.01), and aneurysm location (p=0.01). However, no robust evidence that neurosurgery has advantages over endovascular treatment for any subgroup. Endovascular treatment showed benefit across all aneurysm locations. For good grade patients (WFNS 1-3), RR 0.71 (95% CI 0.61-0.83); for poor grade (WFNS 4-6), RR 1.11 (95% CI 0.84-1.46). Age showed heterogeneity but no consistent trend. Small numbers in extreme age groups limit interpretation. Fisher grade (blood amount on CT) showed no significant interaction (p=0.3). Aneurysm lumen size showed no significant interaction (p=0.4).


Criticisms

  • Only patients for whom there was uncertainty about best treatment were enrolled - approximately 80% of screened aneurysms excluded
  • Highly variable enrollment rates between centers
  • Selection bias concerns - patients clearly more suitable for one treatment were not randomized
  • Questions about whether surgical expertise represented the best that neurosurgery had to offer
  • Applicability concerns - results may not generalize to all patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage
  • More patients in surgical group had rebleeding before treatment (23 vs 14)
  • Follow-up angiography not mandatory after neurosurgical clipping (only 47% had angiography), creating potential selection bias in angiographic outcome comparison
  • Blinded assessment of rebleeding not possible due to visibility of clips and coils on imaging
  • Long-term durability of coil occlusion uncertain beyond 7 years
  • Angiographic occlusion rates better with clipping (82% complete) than coiling (66% complete)
  • Small numbers in some subgroups (elderly, poor grade) limit interpretation
  • Trial predominantly enrolled good-grade patients (88% WFNS 1-2) and small anterior circulation aneurysms (90% <10mm)
  • Limited data on giant or complex aneurysms
  • No data on cost-effectiveness presented in this publication

Funding

Pilot phase: Oxford Regional Health Authority Research and Development (1994-97). Main trial: Medical Research Council UK; Programme Hospitalier de Recherche Clinique 1998 of French Ministry of Health (AOM 98150) sponsored by Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP); Canadian Institutes of Health Research; Stroke Association of UK (for neuropsychological assessments)

Based on: ISAT (Lancet, 2005)

Authors: Andrew J Molyneux, Richard S C Kerr, Ly-Mee Yu, ..., for the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) Collaborative Group

Citation: Lancet 2005; 366: 809-17

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