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EXSCEL

Effects of Once-Weekly Exenatide on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes

Year of Publication: 2017

Authors: Rury R. Holman, M. Angelyn Bethel, Robert J. Mentz, ..., for the EXSCEL Study Group

Journal: New England Journal of Medicine

Citation: N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–1239. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1612917

Link: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1612917

PDF: https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa1612917


Clinical Question

Does once-weekly exenatide reduce major cardiovascular events compared to placebo in patients with type 2 diabetes with or without established cardiovascular disease?

Bottom Line

Exenatide was noninferior but not superior to placebo for cardiovascular safety in patients with type 2 diabetes, and showed no statistically significant reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

Major Points

  • Large pragmatic RCT (N=14,752) assessing once-weekly exenatide vs. placebo in type 2 diabetes.
  • Median follow-up 3.2 years; 73% had prior cardiovascular disease.
  • Primary MACE outcome occurred in 11.4% (exenatide) vs. 12.2% (placebo); HR 0.91 (95% CI 0.83–1.00); P<0.001 for noninferiority, P=0.06 for superiority.
  • No significant difference in cardiovascular death, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure.
  • Exenatide showed modest reductions in HbA1c, weight, SBP, but increased heart rate.
  • No excess in severe hypoglycemia, pancreatitis, or cancer, including thyroid carcinoma.

Design

Study Type: Multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind

Enrollment Period: June 2010 – September 2015

Follow-up Duration: Median 3.2 years (up to 6.8 years)

Centers: 687

Countries: 35 countries including USA, UK, India, China, Australia, Europe, Latin America

Sample Size: 14752

Analysis: Intention-to-treat and per-protocol; Cox regression stratified by CV disease history


Inclusion Criteria

  • Adults with type 2 diabetes
  • HbA1c 6.5–10.0%
  • ± history of major cardiovascular disease
  • Allowed up to 3 oral agents or insulin ± 2 oral agents

Exclusion Criteria

  • ≥2 severe hypoglycemia episodes in past year
  • eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73m²
  • Personal/family history of medullary thyroid carcinoma or MEN2
  • Prior GLP-1 receptor agonist use

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicComorbiditiesQualifying Event
Diabetes100

Arms

FieldExenatideControl
InterventionExtended-release exenatide 2 mg SC weeklyMatching placebo SC weekly
DurationMedian 2.4 yearsMedian 2.3 years

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
First occurrence of MACE (CV death, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke)Primary12.2%11.4%0.910.06
Death from any cause | 95% CI: 0.77–0.97Secondary7.9%6.9%0.86NS
CV death | 95% CI: 0.76–1.02Secondary5.2%4.6%0.88NS
Nonfatal MI | 95% CI: 0.85–1.10Secondary6.7%6.6%0.97NS
Nonfatal stroke | 95% CI: 0.70–1.03Secondary2.9%2.5%0.85NS
Acute pancreatitisAdverse0.4% vs. 0.3%
Pancreatic cancerAdverse0.2% vs. 0.2%
Medullary thyroid carcinomaAdverse<0.1% in both groups
Severe hypoglycemiaAdverse3.4% vs. 3.0%; not statistically significant

Subgroup Analysis

No significant heterogeneity except by age <65 vs ≥65 (P=0.005); most subgroups showed consistent direction of effect


Criticisms

  • High discontinuation rate (24%)
  • Modest treatment effect on metabolic parameters
  • Placebo group had more use of other cardioprotective agents (SGLT-2, GLP-1RA)
  • Shorter exposure time and lower baseline HbA1c than LEADER/SUSTAIN-6

Funding

Amylin Pharmaceuticals (subsidiary of AstraZeneca)

Based on: EXSCEL (New England Journal of Medicine, 2017)

Authors: Rury R. Holman, M. Angelyn Bethel, Robert J. Mentz, ..., for the EXSCEL Study Group

Citation: N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–1239. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1612917

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