ECST-2
Carotid Artery Stenting or Endarterectomy Versus Best Medical Therapy Alone in Patients With Symptomatic or Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis at Low to Intermediate Risk of Stroke (ECST-2)
Clinical Question
Does revascularization reduce stroke risk when added to optimized medical therapy in patients with asymptomatic or low-to-intermediate risk symptomatic carotid stenosis?
Bottom Line
Among patients with low-to-intermediate risk carotid stenosis, adding carotid revascularization to optimized medical therapy did not reduce stroke, MI, or death over 2 years compared with medical therapy alone.
Major Points
- Multicenter RCT with 429 patients with ≥50% carotid stenosis and low/intermediate stroke risk
- Randomized to optimized medical therapy (OMT) alone or OMT plus revascularization (CEA or CAS)
- Primary outcome: no difference using win ratio method (1.01, 95% CI 0.60–1.70, p=0.97)
- Stroke rates were low in both groups: 2-year ipsilateral stroke 2.9% (OMT) vs. 6.2% (revasc.)
- Majority of infarcts on imaging were silent (90%); no difference in silent infarcts
- Findings support individualized risk-based approach; revascularization may not benefit low-risk patients
Design
Study Type: Multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial with blinded outcome adjudication
Randomization: 1
Blinding: Outcome adjudicators and imaging assessors were blinded
Enrollment Period: March 1, 2012 – Oct 31, 2019
Follow-up Duration: 2 years (interim analysis)
Centers: 30
Countries: UK, Netherlands, Switzerland, Canada, Italy
Sample Size: 429
Analysis: Intention-to-treat; primary outcome analyzed with win ratio method (Finkelstein–Schoenfeld); secondary outcomes via Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox models
Inclusion Criteria
- Age ≥18 years
- Carotid stenosis ≥50% (NASCET criteria)
- Symptomatic with 5-year stroke risk <20% by CAR score OR asymptomatic ≥180 days
- Eligible for revascularization and OMT
Exclusion Criteria
- Prior CEA or CAS on index artery
- Contraindication to MRI or study procedures
- Predicted 5-year stroke risk ≥20%
Baseline Characteristics
Age, years: 72 (IQR 65–78)
Sex - Female: 31%
Sex - Male: 69%
Symptomatic: 40%
Asymptomatic: 60%
BMI: 27.4 (OMT) vs 27.7 (Revasc)
Hypertension: 76% (OMT), 77% (Revasc)
Diabetes: 30% (OMT), 25% (Revasc)
Smoking - Current: 22% (OMT), 18% (Revasc)
Statin use: 97% (OMT), 96% (Revasc)
Antiplatelet use: 93% (OMT), 89% (Revasc)
Arms
| Field | OMT plus Revascularization | Control |
|---|---|---|
| Intervention | Optimized medical therapy plus carotid endarterectomy (CEA) or stenting (CAS) | Optimized medical therapy including antiplatelets, statins, BP and lifestyle management |
| Duration | Up to 2 years follow-up | Up to 2 years follow-up |
Outcomes
| Outcome | Type | Control | Intervention | HR / OR / RR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hierarchical composite: periprocedural death, fatal stroke/MI, non-fatal stroke, non-fatal MI, silent cerebral infarction | Primary | 11.4% wins | 11.3% wins | 0.10% | 0.97 |
| Ipsilateral stroke | Secondary | 2.9% | 6.2% | 0.45 | 0.052 |
| Any stroke | Secondary | 5.9% | 8.6% | 0.64 | 0.14 |
| Myocardial infarction | Secondary | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.00 | 0.10 |
| Silent cerebral infarction | Secondary | 9.4% | 7.8% | 0.82 | |
| Stroke | Adverse | 5.9% | 8.6% | 0.14 | |
| Myocardial Infarction | Adverse | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.10 | |
| Death | Adverse | 6.4% | 6.3% | 0.47 |
Subgroup Analysis
No significant heterogeneity across prespecified subgroups (age, sex, stenosis severity, symptom status); all favored OMT alone or were neutral
Criticisms
- Interim analysis with limited 2-year follow-up; full 5-year results pending
- Power limited due to low event rates and COVID-19-related imaging follow-up loss
- CAR score, though predictive, has not been externally validated
- Majority underwent CEA, not CAS, limiting generalizability to stenting
Funding
NIHR, Stroke Association, Swiss National Science Foundation, ZonMw (Netherlands), Leeds Neurology Foundation
Based on: ECST-2 (The Lancet Neurology, 2025)
Authors: Simone J A Donners, Twan J van Velzen, Suk Fun Cheng, ..., on behalf of the ECST-2 investigators
Citation: Lancet Neurol. 2025;24:389–399
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