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ECST-2

Carotid Artery Stenting or Endarterectomy Versus Best Medical Therapy Alone in Patients With Symptomatic or Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis at Low to Intermediate Risk of Stroke (ECST-2)

Year of Publication: 2025

Authors: Simone J A Donners, Twan J van Velzen, Suk Fun Cheng, ..., on behalf of the ECST-2 investigators

Journal: The Lancet Neurology

Citation: Lancet Neurol. 2025;24:389–399

Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00085-3

PDF: https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf...%2825%2900107-3


Clinical Question

Does revascularization reduce stroke risk when added to optimized medical therapy in patients with asymptomatic or low-to-intermediate risk symptomatic carotid stenosis?

Bottom Line

Among patients with low-to-intermediate risk carotid stenosis, adding carotid revascularization to optimized medical therapy did not reduce stroke, MI, or death over 2 years compared with medical therapy alone.

Major Points

  • Multicenter RCT with 429 patients with ≥50% carotid stenosis and low/intermediate stroke risk
  • Randomized to optimized medical therapy (OMT) alone or OMT plus revascularization (CEA or CAS)
  • Primary outcome: no difference using win ratio method (1.01, 95% CI 0.60–1.70, p=0.97)
  • Stroke rates were low in both groups: 2-year ipsilateral stroke 2.9% (OMT) vs. 6.2% (revasc.)
  • Majority of infarcts on imaging were silent (90%); no difference in silent infarcts
  • Findings support individualized risk-based approach; revascularization may not benefit low-risk patients

Design

Study Type: Multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial with blinded outcome adjudication

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Outcome adjudicators and imaging assessors were blinded

Enrollment Period: March 1, 2012 – Oct 31, 2019

Follow-up Duration: 2 years (interim analysis)

Centers: 30

Countries: UK, Netherlands, Switzerland, Canada, Italy

Sample Size: 429

Analysis: Intention-to-treat; primary outcome analyzed with win ratio method (Finkelstein–Schoenfeld); secondary outcomes via Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox models


Inclusion Criteria

  • Age ≥18 years
  • Carotid stenosis ≥50% (NASCET criteria)
  • Symptomatic with 5-year stroke risk <20% by CAR score OR asymptomatic ≥180 days
  • Eligible for revascularization and OMT

Exclusion Criteria

  • Prior CEA or CAS on index artery
  • Contraindication to MRI or study procedures
  • Predicted 5-year stroke risk ≥20%

Baseline Characteristics

Age, years: 72 (IQR 65–78)

Sex - Female: 31%

Sex - Male: 69%

Symptomatic: 40%

Asymptomatic: 60%

BMI: 27.4 (OMT) vs 27.7 (Revasc)

Hypertension: 76% (OMT), 77% (Revasc)

Diabetes: 30% (OMT), 25% (Revasc)

Smoking - Current: 22% (OMT), 18% (Revasc)

Statin use: 97% (OMT), 96% (Revasc)

Antiplatelet use: 93% (OMT), 89% (Revasc)


Arms

FieldOMT plus RevascularizationControl
InterventionOptimized medical therapy plus carotid endarterectomy (CEA) or stenting (CAS)Optimized medical therapy including antiplatelets, statins, BP and lifestyle management
DurationUp to 2 years follow-upUp to 2 years follow-up

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Hierarchical composite: periprocedural death, fatal stroke/MI, non-fatal stroke, non-fatal MI, silent cerebral infarctionPrimary11.4% wins11.3% wins0.10%0.97
Ipsilateral strokeSecondary2.9%6.2%0.450.052
Any strokeSecondary5.9%8.6%0.640.14
Myocardial infarctionSecondary4.9%2.5%2.000.10
Silent cerebral infarctionSecondary9.4%7.8%0.82
StrokeAdverse5.9%8.6%0.14
Myocardial InfarctionAdverse4.9%2.5%0.10
DeathAdverse6.4%6.3%0.47

Subgroup Analysis

No significant heterogeneity across prespecified subgroups (age, sex, stenosis severity, symptom status); all favored OMT alone or were neutral


Criticisms

  • Interim analysis with limited 2-year follow-up; full 5-year results pending
  • Power limited due to low event rates and COVID-19-related imaging follow-up loss
  • CAR score, though predictive, has not been externally validated
  • Majority underwent CEA, not CAS, limiting generalizability to stenting

Funding

NIHR, Stroke Association, Swiss National Science Foundation, ZonMw (Netherlands), Leeds Neurology Foundation

Based on: ECST-2 (The Lancet Neurology, 2025)

Authors: Simone J A Donners, Twan J van Velzen, Suk Fun Cheng, ..., on behalf of the ECST-2 investigators

Citation: Lancet Neurol. 2025;24:389–399

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