CHANCE-2
(2021)Objective
Ticagrelor-aspirin versus clopidogrel-aspirin in preventing recurrent stroke in patients with minor ischemic stroke or TIA carrying CYP2C19 loss-of-function alleles.
Study Summary
Intervention
Ticagrelor 180 mg loading dose followed by 90 mg twice daily for 90 days vs. Clopidogrel 300 mg loading dose followed by 75 mg daily for 90 days. All patients received aspirin for the first 21 days.
Study Design
Arms: Array
Outcome
Bottom Line
Among 6,412 Chinese patients with minor stroke/TIA who were CYP2C19 LOF carriers, ticagrelor-aspirin reduced 90-day stroke from 7.6% to 6.0% (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.64-0.94; P=0.008). Severe/moderate bleeding was identical (0.3% vs 0.3%), but total any-bleeding doubled (5.3% vs 2.5%). Point-of-care genotyping averaged 80.3 minutes — operationally feasible.
Major Points
- 23% relative risk reduction: ticagrelor-aspirin reduced stroke from 7.6% to 6.0% (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.64-0.94; P=0.008).
- Genotype-guided selection feasible at scale: 11,255 screened, 57% were LOF carriers, POC genotyping averaged 80.3 minutes.
- Consistent across metabolizer subgroups: intermediate (HR 0.78; 0.63-0.97) and poor metabolizers (HR 0.77; 0.50-1.18).
- No increase in severe/moderate bleeding: 0.3% vs 0.3% (HR 0.82; P=0.66).
- Any bleeding doubled: 5.3% vs 2.5% (HR 2.18; 95% CI 1.66-2.85) — mostly mild/nuisance.
- 30-day stroke also reduced: 4.9% vs 6.4% (HR 0.75; 0.61-0.93). Curves diverged in first week.
- Vascular composite reduced: stroke/TIA/MI/vascular death 7.2% vs 9.2% (HR 0.77; 0.65-0.92).
- No benefit in prior stroke/TIA patients: HR 1.07 (0.72-1.60) vs HR 0.70 (0.57-0.88) without prior events.
- Aspirin limited to 21 days in both arms, then monotherapy through Day 90.
- 6,412 patients, 202 Chinese sites, double-blind, placebo-controlled. 100% 90-day follow-up.
Study Design
- Study Type
- Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled superiority trial
- Randomization
- Yes
- Blinding
- Double-blind with matching placebos. 1:1 within 24h of symptom onset.
- Sample Size
- 6412
- Follow-up
- 90 days (primary); 12 months total planned
- Centers
- 202
- Countries
- China
Primary Outcome
Definition: New ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke at 90 days
| Control | Intervention | HR/OR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 243/3,207 (7.6%) | 191/3,205 (6.0%) | 0.77 (0.64-0.94) | 0.008 |
Limitations & Criticisms
- Chinese population only (98% Han) — lower CYP2C19 LOF prevalence in Western populations (~25% vs ~60%).
- Excluded cardioembolic, moderate-severe stroke, thrombolysis/thrombectomy patients.
- Any bleeding doubled (5.3% vs 2.5%) — driven by mild bleeding, dyspnea, arrhythmias.
- 12-month data not yet published; only 90-day outcomes reported.
- Benefit driven by early first-week divergence.
- Cost-effectiveness of genotype-guided strategy not evaluated.
- No direct comparison to genotype-unselected DAPT (original CHANCE).
- Higher premature discontinuation with ticagrelor (357 vs 256).
Citation
N Engl J Med 2021;385:2520-30.