ATIS-NVAF
(2025)Objective
To determine whether adding an antiplatelet agent to anticoagulant therapy influences the net clinical benefit in patients with ischemic stroke or TIA and concurrent nonvalvular atrial fibrillation and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Study Summary
• Combination therapy associated with significantly higher bleeding risk (HR 2.42, P=0.008)
• Trial terminated early for futility after interim analysis
Intervention
Combination therapy (oral anticoagulant plus antiplatelet agent) versus anticoagulant monotherapy for 2 years
Inclusion Criteria
Age ≥20 years, ischemic stroke or TIA 8-360 days prior, nonvalvular atrial fibrillation on anticoagulation, and ≥1 atherosclerotic manifestation (carotid/intracranial stenosis ≥50%, noncardioembolic stroke, ischemic heart disease, or peripheral artery disease)
Study Design
Arms: Combination therapy (anticoagulant + antiplatelet) vs Monotherapy (anticoagulant alone)
Patients per Arm: 159 combination therapy, 157 monotherapy
Outcome
• Ischemic cardiovascular events: 11.1% vs 14.2% (HR 0.76, P=0.41)
• Major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding: 19.5% vs 8.6% (HR 2.42, P=0.008)
Bottom Line
In patients with ischemic stroke or TIA and concurrent nonvalvular atrial fibrillation and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, adding an antiplatelet agent to anticoagulant therapy provided no net clinical benefit over anticoagulant monotherapy and was associated with significantly higher bleeding risk. Anticoagulant monotherapy appears to be a safer option for secondary stroke prevention in this high-risk population.
Major Points
- First randomized trial evaluating secondary prevention in patients with concurrent NVAF and atherosclerotic disease
- 316 patients randomized to combination therapy (n=159) or monotherapy (n=157) at 41 Japanese sites
- Trial terminated early for futility after interim analysis on July 18, 2023
- Primary outcome (composite of ischemic cardiovascular events and major bleeding): 17.8% combination vs 19.6% monotherapy (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.53-1.55, P=0.64)
- Ischemic cardiovascular events: 11.1% combination vs 14.2% monotherapy (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.39-1.48, P=0.41)
- Major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding: 19.5% combination vs 8.6% monotherapy (HR 2.42, 95% CI 1.23-4.76, P=0.008)
- Most common atherosclerotic disease was atherothrombotic or lacunar stroke (55%), followed by intracranial artery stenosis (33%)
- 94% of patients received direct oral anticoagulants; only 6% received warfarin
- In combination group: aspirin 52%, clopidogrel 31%, cilostazol 17%
- Gastrointestinal bleeding was most common hemorrhagic event (6% combination vs 3% monotherapy)
- Results consistent across sensitivity analyses and subgroups
Study Design
- Study Type
- Multicenter, open-label, parallel-group, phase IV randomized clinical trial
- Randomization
- Yes
- Blinding
- Open-label for treatment allocation; blinded independent central review committee for clinical event adjudication. No placebo used due to funding constraints.
- Sample Size
- 316
- Follow-up
- 2 years (median 707 days, IQR 588-735)
- Centers
- 41
- Countries
- Japan
Primary Outcome
Definition: Composite of ischemic cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, systemic embolism, and ischemic events requiring urgent revascularization) and major bleeding (ISTH criteria) occurring within 2 years of randomization
| Control | Intervention | HR/OR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 of 157 patients, cumulative incidence 19.6% (95% CI 12.7-26.0%) | 25 of 159 patients, cumulative incidence 17.8% (95% CI 11.0-24.0%) | 0.91 (0.53-1.55) | 0.64 |
Limitations & Criticisms
- Trial terminated early for futility with only 316 of planned 400 patients enrolled, limiting statistical power
- Open-label design may have introduced bias in patient adherence, outcome reporting, and clinical decision-making
- Heterogeneity in choice of specific anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents and their dosages left to physician discretion, creating variability in interventions
- No CYP2C19 genotyping performed to screen for clopidogrel resistance
- Stroke subtypes did not strictly follow TOAST criteria due to coexisting atrial fibrillation, potentially introducing classification bias
- No data collected on whether AF was diagnosed before index stroke or whether patients had stroke despite therapeutic anticoagulation
- Patients at particularly high bleeding risk may have been excluded due to prior bleeding events during acute stroke phase
- Only Japanese patients enrolled, limiting generalizability to other populations with different genetic, environmental, or healthcare factors
- No placebo used due to funding constraints
- Different enrollment window (8-360 days) than initially planned (15-180 days), expanded during trial based on similar event rates
- Small sample size of subgroups limits definitive conclusions about treatment effects in specific populations
- Median follow-up of 707 days slightly less than planned 2 years
- Higher than expected recurrence rate may reflect enrollment of patients within first year after stroke when risk is highest
Citation
JAMA Neurol. doi:10.1001/jamaneurol.2025.3662